Delaware at Vanderbilt NCAA, Week 2, 2026 regular season Kickoff: September 12, 2026 at 8:15 PM UTC Status: scheduled ============================================================ WHAT TO EXPECT ============================================================ spreadsim's model favors Vanderbilt by 17.4 points, giving them a 84% chance to win outright. It projects a total of 70.2 combined points, with Vanderbilt at 43.7 and Delaware at 26.3. Simulating the game 10,000 times, Vanderbilt's margin lands between -5.3 and +39.9 points 80% of the time -- a real range, not a single guessed score. ============================================================ THE PREDICTION IN DETAIL ============================================================ Spread: Vanderbilt -17.4 / Delaware +17.4 Moneyline: Vanderbilt -510 / Delaware +510 Win probability: Vanderbilt 83.6% / Delaware 16.4% Projected total: 70.2 points Last recalculated: August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC This comes from each team's Elo rating -- Vanderbilt: 1657.1, Delaware: 1448.8 -- plus a +65.0-point home-field edge, adjusted by these real per-team factors (16.2 Elo points per spread point): Adjustment factor Vanderbilt Delaware ----------------- ---------- -------- elevation +0.0 +0.0 injury_hazard +0.0 +0.0 travel_fatigue +4.0 +2.0 ncaa_efficiency +0.0 +0.0 blowout_hangover +0.0 +0.0 home_field_vector +7.8 -- consecutive_road -- +0.0 ============================================================ HOW THIS COMPARES TO THE MARKET ============================================================ No market line available for this game yet. ============================================================ RANGE OF LIKELY OUTCOMES ============================================================ Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Projected score: Delaware 26.3 -- Vanderbilt 43.7 Percentile 10th 25th 50th 75th 90th ----------------- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- Vanderbilt margin -5.3 +5.7 +17.6 +29.0 +39.9 Total points 48.5 58.7 70.0 81.3 91.5 ============================================================ PLAYER PROPS: WHAT TO EXPECT ============================================================ Individual player projections, with each stat's real 68% likely range or touchdown probability: VANDERBILT Player Pos Stat Proj. 68% range / TD odds ----------------- --- --------------- ----- ------------------- Junior Sherrill WR Receiving yards 65.2 30-109 Receptions 4.3 2-7 Receiving TDs 0.30 26% 1+ Blaze Berlowitz QB Passing yards 62.9 -- Pass attempts 7.1 -- Completions 4.6 -- Passing TDs 0.21 19% 1+ Rushing yards 24.3 -- Rushing TDs 0.26 23% 1+ Ja'Cory Thomas WR Receiving yards 52.6 17-68 Receptions 3.3 2-5 Receiving TDs 0.30 26% 1+ Sedrick Alexander RB Rushing yards 52.5 11-95 Carries 9.3 4-14 Rushing TDs 1.32 73% 1+, 38% 2+ Receiving yards 21.8 2-42 Receptions 2.5 1-4 Receiving TDs 0.38 31% 1+, 6% 2+ Jamezell Lassiter RB Rushing yards 47.9 7-78 Carries 5.6 -- Rushing TDs 0.38 31% 1+, 6% 2+ Receiving yards 19.8 0-30 Receptions 1.4 2-2 Receiving TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Cole Spence TE Receiving yards 41.2 17-64 Receptions 2.6 1-4 Receiving TDs 0.27 24% 1+ Tristen Brown WR Receiving yards 37.1 2-66 Receptions 2.5 0-4 Receiving TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Jayvontay Conner TE Receiving yards 31.4 8-52 Receptions 2.5 1-4 Receiving TDs 0.24 21% 1+ Bryan Longwell LB Tackles 6.4 4-11 CJ Heard S Tackles 5.9 4-8 Bryce Cowan LB Sacks 0.25 22% 1+ Nick Rinaldi LB Sacks 0.19 17% 1+ DELAWARE Player Pos Stat Proj. 68% range / TD odds ----------------- --- --------------- ----- ------------------- Nick Minicucci QB Passing yards 293.7 209-402 Pass attempts 37.0 28-46 Completions 23.6 18-28 Passing TDs 2.21 89% 1+, 65% 2+ Rushing yards 20.7 -- Rushing TDs 0.44 36% 1+, 7% 2+ Sean Wilson WR Receiving yards 59.9 24-106 Receptions 5.1 3-7 Receiving TDs 0.39 32% 1+, 6% 2+ Jo Silver RB Rushing yards 53.4 12-91 Carries 11.1 6-16 Rushing TDs 0.32 27% 1+ Receiving yards 23.4 4-48 Receptions 2.8 2-4 Receiving TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Viron Ellison Jr. RB Rushing yards 46.3 5-74 Carries 10.7 5-16 Rushing TDs 0.42 34% 1+, 7% 2+ Receiving yards 21.2 2-44 Receptions 2.7 2-5 Receiving TDs 0.21 19% 1+ Elijah Sessoms TE Receiving yards 36.9 13-59 Receptions 2.7 1-4 Receiving TDs 0.25 22% 1+ Bryson Graves WR Receiving yards 29.8 -- Receptions 3.0 1-5 Receiving TDs 0.26 23% 1+ Donovan Lewis WR Receiving yards 29.8 -- Receptions 2.8 1-4 Receiving TDs 0.13 12% 1+ Scott Moore TE Receiving yards 28.8 5-44 Receptions 2.1 0-3 Receiving TDs 0.25 22% 1+ Gavin Moul LB Tackles 8.2 6-12 KT Seay S Tackles 6.5 4-9 Brandon Gorham DE Sacks 0.38 31% 1+, 6% 2+ Noah Matthews DE Sacks 0.25 22% 1+ ============================================================ GAME CONTEXT ============================================================ Vanderbilt recent form: 3-2 over last 5 games Delaware recent form: 3-2 over last 5 games ------------------------------------------------------------ Generated by spreadsim.com's model. See spreadsim.com/methodology for how these numbers are computed. spreadsim.com/games/10182