Georgia Southern at Clemson NCAA, Week 2, 2026 regular season Kickoff: September 12, 2026 at 11:30 PM UTC Status: scheduled ============================================================ WHAT TO EXPECT ============================================================ spreadsim's model favors Clemson by 9.6 points, giving them a 71% chance to win outright. It projects a total of 55.2 combined points, with Clemson at 32.4 and Georgia Southern at 22.9. Simulating the game 10,000 times, Clemson's margin lands between -12.4 and +31.3 points 80% of the time -- a real range, not a single guessed score. ============================================================ THE PREDICTION IN DETAIL ============================================================ Spread: Clemson -9.6 / Georgia Southern +9.6 Moneyline: Clemson -245 / Georgia Southern +245 Win probability: Clemson 71.0% / Georgia Southern 29.0% Projected total: 55.2 points Last recalculated: August 30, 2026 at 6:01 AM UTC This comes from each team's Elo rating -- Clemson: 1577.0, Georgia Southern: 1504.1 -- plus a +65.0-point home-field edge, adjusted by these real per-team factors (16.2 Elo points per spread point): Adjustment factor Clemson Georgia Southern ----------------- ------- ---------------- elevation +0.0 +0.0 injury_hazard +0.0 +0.0 travel_fatigue +4.0 +3.6 ncaa_efficiency +0.0 +0.0 blowout_hangover +0.0 +0.0 home_field_vector +2.1 -- consecutive_road -- -15.0 ============================================================ HOW THIS COMPARES TO THE MARKET ============================================================ No market line available for this game yet. ============================================================ RANGE OF LIKELY OUTCOMES ============================================================ Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Projected score: Georgia Southern 22.9 -- Clemson 32.4 Percentile 10th 25th 50th 75th 90th -------------- ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- Clemson margin -12.4 -1.7 +9.3 +20.9 +31.3 Total points 33.8 43.8 55.2 66.5 76.8 ============================================================ PLAYER PROPS: WHAT TO EXPECT ============================================================ Individual player projections, with each stat's real 68% likely range or touchdown probability: CLEMSON Player Pos Stat Proj. 68% range / TD odds ------------------- --- --------------- ----- ------------------- Christopher Vizzina QB Passing yards 185.1 101-382 Pass attempts 26.7 18-50 Completions 16.8 10-34 Passing TDs 0.83 56% 1+, 20% 2+ Rushing yards 10.6 -- Rushing TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Bryant Wesco Jr. WR Receiving yards 84.1 48-124 Receptions 4.7 2-7 Receiving TDs 0.91 60% 1+, 23% 2+ T.J. Moore WR Receiving yards 77.1 41-122 Receptions 4.1 2-6 Receiving TDs 0.45 36% 1+, 8% 2+ Chris Johnson Jr. RB Rushing yards 68.4 27-130 Carries 7.7 2-10 Rushing TDs 0.56 43% 1+, 11% 2+ Receiving yards 23.4 4-48 Receptions 2.2 1-3 Receiving TDs 0.18 17% 1+ Gideon Davidson RB Rushing yards 45.5 4-66 Carries 8.5 3-12 Rushing TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Receiving yards 26.1 7-51 Receptions 2.6 2-4 Receiving TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Tristan Smith WR Receiving yards 39.7 4-71 Receptions 3.2 1-5 Receiving TDs 0.11 11% 1+ Christian Bentancur TE Receiving yards 23.0 -- Receptions 2.7 1-4 Receiving TDs 0.30 26% 1+ Olsen Patt-Henry TE Receiving yards 15.3 -- Receptions 2.2 1-3 Receiving TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Sammy Brown LB Tackles 8.8 6-12 Sacks 0.44 36% 1+, 7% 2+ Corey Myrick S Tackles 7.4 5-10 Jahiem Lawson DE Sacks 0.50 39% 1+, 9% 2+ GEORGIA SOUTHERN Player Pos Stat Proj. 68% range / TD odds --------------- --- --------------- ----- ------------------- Max Johnson QB Passing yards 183.3 99-277 Pass attempts 26.7 18-42 Completions 16.4 10-26 Passing TDs 0.47 37% 1+, 8% 2+ Ashton Hollins WR Receiving yards 50.3 15-73 Receptions 2.0 -- Receiving TDs 0.37 31% 1+, 5% 2+ Taeo Todd RB Rushing yards 37.1 -- Carries 9.0 4-15 Rushing TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Receiving yards 18.2 -- Receptions 2.9 2-5 Receiving TDs 0.00 0% 1+ David Mbadinga RB Rushing yards 32.1 -- Carries 9.0 4-12 Rushing TDs 0.15 14% 1+ Receiving yards 10.1 -- Receptions 1.4 2-2 Receiving TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Taylor Bradshaw WR Receiving yards 23.0 -- Receptions 2.2 -- Receiving TDs 0.14 13% 1+ Alex Taylor WR Receiving yards 19.1 -- Receptions 1.3 2-2 Receiving TDs 0.00 0% 1+ Anthony Bynum LB Tackles 5.7 3-8 Sacks 0.31 27% 1+ Brandon Tyson LB Tackles 5.7 3-8 MJ Stroud LB Sacks 0.50 39% 1+, 9% 2+ ============================================================ GAME CONTEXT ============================================================ Clemson recent form: 3-2 over last 5 games Georgia Southern recent form: 4-1 over last 5 games ------------------------------------------------------------ Generated by spreadsim.com's model. See spreadsim.com/methodology for how these numbers are computed. spreadsim.com/games/10196